While the date of parliamentarian election is approaching,
there is still a poor sign for this opposition leader in returning to Cambodia
to prepare and join the election. Ministry of Interior on 28 September 2012
signed official endorsement recognizing Sam Rainsy as the leader of new
political party, Cambodian National Rescue Party. This new party has been
formed by the emerging of Sam Rainsy Party (SRP) and Human Rights Party (HRP).
SRP and HRP announced their agreement to merge the two parties into one on 17
July 2012 in Manila, Philippine. Be noted that SRP and HRP are holding 26 and 3
parliamentary seats respectively amongst 123 of the total seats. The two
parties believe to achieve a great achievement in the next parliamentarian
election in July next year.
However the Prime Minister Hun Sen, who is the vice-president
of Cambodian People Party (CPP) standing as permanent candidate as prime
minister, claimed that he has no fear with the merging among these opposition
parties by saying that it is the storm in the jar. In fact, this forming really
draws his attention, otherwise he might not had mentioned and leave any message
relevance to this. Additionally, he promised to step down if he loses the
election next year-it is assumed that the prime minister is strongly confident
to win the next election, while the opposition is strongly accusing the
election had been conducted in an unjustifiably way.
The opposition leader, who is staying exile escaping from
the imprisonment executed by the court, is calling for the reform of national
election committee accusing of having committed unfair process with political
influence from the ruling party. The two major opposition parties used to
threaten to consider boycotting the general election next year, but the ruling
party responded that it would be a chance for other political parties to win
the seat in the parliament. However, the ruling party itself might understand
that this is quite a threat in which the boycotting could drag the attention of
international community to take action for political interference, and the
oppositions parties themselves might also know how much it will face with a
huge lose if it is the fact. It is quite sure that the boycott will be resulted
nothing to the opposition parties, but they aim to release their intention to
do so in order to call for international community to urge the electoral system
reform in Cambodia. Interviewed by Australian radio,
the opposition leader expects the help from international community leaders
including US, when the president Barak Obama comes to Cambodia to join
ASEAN-U.S. summit, and Australian government, which is one of the biggest donors,
to put pressure on Cambodian government to reform election system. He also
pointed out that the main reform should be made within the National Election
Committee which had performed their role of being partial and political tool
for the ruling party.
In 2005, Sam Rainsy was sentenced to 18 months in jail for
defamation conviction by the court. In February 2006-two years before national
election in 2008 and one month before donor meeting in March-he was granted
with Royal Pardon by the king at the request of Cambodian prime minister. By
the way, it was also believed that there must be a secret political promise
between the opposition and the ruling party at that time in order to allow the
opposition party leader to return to Cambodia to prepare for and join the
election in 2008. On 27 January 2010, Svay Rieng court of first instant
sentenced him to 2 years in jail for the conviction of racial incitement and
the destruction of demarcation post. On 23 September 2010, he received
additional sentence to 10 more years in jail for the conviction of producing
forgery map and disinformation. Totally, he is now baring a 12 years term in
jail and has always been threaten to arrest if he returns to Cambodia.
As mentioned earlier, the opposition leader hopes for the
international pressure on the Cambodian government rather than political
promise for his expectation to return to Cambodia after ASEAN Summit. The hope
of international pressure from US and Australian governments somehow is strong
and effective, if the tendency of Cambodian government is with these two giant
countries, but it would be not because Cambodia has chosen China for its closed
friend. Anyway, it is hoped that the regard of Cambodian government toward the
U.S at this moment is likely to be more effective than the past, because
Cambodia is seeking to burst bilateral trade between the two nations.
Still, there is no clear sign showing that Sam Rainsy will
be able to return to Cambodia to join the election in 2013. Even if he could
return, it seems to be too late for him to prepare himself for election
campaign. Moreover, while he was staying exile abroad, he has not been able to
build more credit with his political popularity with Cambodian people. But the
merging of the opposition party and assigning Kem Sokha, who is the former
president of Human Rights party, as vice president of the new party is one of
the defensive strategy of Sam Rainsy party. The merging came close to the date
of the general election and while there is poor sign of returning of Sam Rainsy
party leader to Cambodia. This uncertainty will give the opposition party less
hope in receiving good result of parliamentarian election in the next mandate.
Nop Virak, Student from University of Cambodia
Phone: +85589 861965
E-mail: viraknop@gmail.com